Archive for August, 2006

One hundred years with the Birds

Wednesday, August 16th, 2006

The Reds and their brethren in St. Louis have been battling on the diamond since the 1870’s the Cardinals (Browns) original owner Judge Orrick C. Bishop drew up the original National League Constitution, and by the end of the decade both were out of the league. Out of the league and without rivals two local sportswriters O..P Caylor (later the sports editor for the Enquirer) and Alfred Spink (the founder of The Sporting News) compiled town teams and played a challenge against each other to fill the void.

By 1882 both cities were charter members in the American Association, a league owned by brewers and folks who liked to watch the game be played on Sunday. The Reds jumped to the NL in 1890 and the Browns followed them in 1892, by 1899 they were known as the Cardinals and with the Cubs the three would hold down the western side of the National Leagues ledger alone for the next 57 years.

The Reds and the Cardinals have deep ties, they’ve shared managers (Charles Comiskey, Bill McKechnie, Fred Hutchinson and Vern Rapp) numerous players and a long line transactions over the years. Both humid river cities, both saddled by not being as rich as the big boys who usually won the league. Both towns gave the game innovators like Rickey and MacPhail, and both have been broadcast over the wide expanse of the middle of America.

Falling back to the here and now the Reds find themselves in a hunt they didn’t plan for, against a team they’ve been battling forever. Therefore lets roll back a hundred years to see where the Reds were with the Cardinals and check in at 10 year intervals, starting with one hundred years ago.

1906

Upton Sinclair shocked the world with his graphic novel The Jungle, and the Reds and Cardinals emitted a stench that rivaled the meat packing industry, when the both finished more then 50 games back (Cards 63.5 and Reds 51.5) it would be 18 years before the Cardinals came in 1st and 12 for the Reds.

1916

In 1916 the Great War was raging in Europe and in St Louis Browns owner Phil Ball was at odds with his General Manage Branch Rickey, this rift led to Rickey jumping to the cross town Cardinals and etching their name into National League history. Meanwhile the Reds turned their history around when they acquired Roush and Mathewson from the Giants, jettisoning Manager Buck Herzog in the process. The change in culture would be the pulse of both franchises futures. However both teams tied for 7th in the league, 33.5 games behind the champion Dodgers.

1926

In Lee Allen’s book “The Cincinnati Reds” he titled the chapter about the 1926 season as “The Season that Brought Everything” In St Louis it will forever be known as the season that the Cardinals finally scaled the mountain and won it all and in Cincinnati it was the year that enough, wasn’t actually enough, as the Reds topped their all time attendance record with 672,987 paid. It would take 12 years until they topped that. In that span the Cardinals won 4 more NL championships and 2 World Series. By the end of the season the two games separated them was actually larger then it looked.

1936

In 1936 both franchises were experiencing money problems. The Reds with MacPhail and Crosley had installed lights and were changing the face of the game. The Cardinals who didn’t own a stadium and thus had limited revenue had previously pondered moves to Detroit and Toronto found themselves chasing the Giants all year ending up in 2nd place. Baseball in 30’s tends to get lost in the world of New York, in the Mideast and the Midwest changes were being made. The Reds finished 18 games off the pace and the Cardinals 5 games.

1946

The Reds were in the cellar and the Cardinals were finishing first again, but for the last time in some time. The war was over and the Reds were not awash in prospects due to their conservative signing approach during the war. The Cardinals had lost Rickey early in the decade and the rest of the league was catching up to them. The 1946 World Series revitalized the country and sent major league baseball into a burst of popularity that would pave the way to franchise moves and eventually expansion.

1956

By now the pendulum had swung a bit, the Reds were a slugging team with league average pitching and they were raking in the station-to-station 50’s. In the mean time in St. Louis the Cardinals were searching for their mojo, they had chased the Browns out of town and yet all they seemed to be was Stan the Man and a cast of thousands. The Reds finished 3rd that season, 2 games back. The Cardinals were 4th, 17 games behind the Dodgers.

1966

In the midst of the 60’s it was evident that both organizations were on an upswing, with the residue of Rickey permeating in the Cardinals organization more deeply they reaped the benefits faster, appearing in the World Series in 1964, 1967 and 1968. Meanwhile the Reds were still a bit in transition as they looked for ownership that would be as robust as the Cardinals Busch family. Also envied was the brand new park in St. Louis; in Cincinnati St. Louis was still the baseball town they looked up to. The Cardinals finished 4 games over .500 that season and in 6th in the 10-team league. The Reds finished 18 games back and 8 games under .500.

1976

Watershed year in Cincinnati with the Reds finishing 178 runs above the leagues average, a number good enough for 7th in modern history. The Reds sealed their greatness that season with sweeps of the Phillies and the Yankees. Meanwhile the worm had turned in St. Louis as the Cardinals lost 90 games, the first time they had lost 90 games since 1913, the Reds had lost 90 games nine times in that same time period. I’d venture Branch Rickey had something to do with that.

1986

The Reds were trying to find once lost glory and the Cardinals were redefining the game on the carpet with Herzog, Ozzie, Coleman and McGee. The Cardinals had one more run in them (1987) and the Reds were tuning up for the 90’s. Both teams would win a World Series before the strike and both teams would experience disappointment by losing at least 89 games in a season. Despite the Reds finishing better then the Cardinals in 1986 the Cardinals would achieve their championship faster then the Reds.

1996

The Cardinals sell their team and Tony LaRussa arrives. In Cincinnati the glow of the 1995 NL Central Championship is a brief and bright flame as the Reds finish .500 and the slow descent into the Ray Knight years takes hold. 1996 in the NL Central required 88 wins to win the division; in 203 the Cubs needed 88 to win the division. Only one season required less since the NL Central started and that was 1987 when the Astros won 84. The emergence of LaRussa at the same time as the obnoxious Ray Knight laid a path for what we’ve seen the past 10 years in the NL Central.

History is often like rollercoaster, up and down, shaking you to the bone, it’s good to experience that with someone, for the Reds they can always look down south to their kindered spirit in St. Louis, because without them the Reds don’t exist and without us they don’t.

It’s almost parasitic.

Time for the Reds to feed.

Monday Minutiae

Monday, August 14th, 2006

All stats are prior to Sundays action.

Double Plays

One thing lost in the departure of Austin Kearns is that the Reds lost their Grounded into Double Plays leader. Kearns at the AS break had 14 GIDP, and currently has 17. At the AS break he had 325 at bats and was averaging a GIDP every 24 at bats, last season Sean Casey led the team in GIDP with 27, which is the 2nd most in Reds team history, that ratio was 1 every 19 at bats. The Reds record is Ernie Lombardi with 30, and a ratio of 1 every 16 at bats. Kearns was (and is) on pace to ground into 24 DP’s this summer. His 14 put him at 15th in post-strike Reds history, a list populated mostly by Sean Casey and Dmitri Young.

CINCINNATI REDS
SEASON
1995-2005

GIDP                          YEAR    GIDP      AB
1    Sean Casey               2005       27      529
2    Bret Boone               1998       23      583
3    Dmitri Young             2001       22      540
4    Barry Larkin             1996       20      517
5    Sean Casey               2003       19      573
6    Dante Bichette           2000       18      461
T7   Sean Casey               2004       16      571
T7   Sean Casey               2001       16      533
T7   Sean Casey               2000       16      480
T7   Dmitri Young             1998       16      536
T7   Dmitri Young             2000       16      548
T7   Barry Larkin             2004       16      346
T13  D'Angelo Jimenez         2004       15      563
T13  Sean Casey               1999       15      594
15   Bret Boone               1995       14      513

Note that the top 3 players on the list all were not Reds the year after they made the list, Kearns trade most likely stopped him from adding his name to the list and chances are good that he’d be the fourth guy jettisoned after accumulating 22 or more GIDP.

The Ratio for GIDP for the top 3 was 1/19 ab for Casey, 1/25 ab for Boone and 1/24 ab for Boone.

Into the annuals goes Kearns, making a short list of Reds players with 14 or more GIDP in 325 ab’s or less.

GIDP                          YEAR      GIDP      AB
1    Bo Diaz                  1988       16      315
T2   Joe Oliver               1991       14      269
T2   Tommy Thevenow           1936       14      321
T2   Kevin Mitchell           1993       14      323
T2   Austin Kearns           2006       14      325

Currently Phillips and Griffey are the two leaders on the Reds in GIDP, Phillips with 12 and Griffey with 11, both have ratios above 1/30 ab’s.

NL Central Post AS Game

Many analysts keep mentioning the Astros as a contender in the wild card and often even the division, most of this is attributed to their pitching.

At the start of Sundays games the Astros were the only NL Central team with a plus run differential since the All Star break. Here’s how it plays out so far.

Central		RD
St. Louis 	-6
Cincinnati	-16
Houston		+26
Milwaukee	-6
Chi Cubs	-22
Pittsburgh	-17

If that trend continues expect the Astros to sneak in the backdoor, however one has to ponder if the Astros post AS game line of
.268/.338/.439./777 is the real thing, their first 89 games produced this line, .256/.332/.406/.739

Reds Remaining Schedule

The Reds have 43 games left in the season, 16 of those games are against the Pirates (9) and Giants (7). Both whom are in the bottom two slots for runs scored since the All Star game, The Pirates are just below 4 runs a game and the Giants a hair above it. If the trend continues it could make the Reds run a bit easier on their questionable pitching. Even more intriguing is that 29 of the final 43 games are with teams that represent 4 of the bottom 6 slots in runs scored in the NL all season and 50% of them represent the last 3 slots in the league for the whole season.

Park Minutiae

When Colt 45’s Stadium had its groundbreaking ceremony on January 3rd 1962 the ground was not broken with a shovel, instead it was cracked open with a gunshot—from a Colt 45.

Crosley Field used to raise a tarp in centerfield during night games to block the glare from streetlights outside the park. On 6-7-1940 the Reds played a day game, however the grounds crew forgot to lower the tarp, which impeded a ball hit by the Reds Harry Craft from clearing the fence, after much dispute the HR was not allowed, the Reds eventually lost the game in extra innings. Whether or not the grounds crew lost a member is not noted.

Speaking of screens the Dodgers first season in Los Angeles was played in the made for the Olympics facility the LA Coliseum, a place that possessed perhaps the lamest field dimensions in modern baseball history. 250 feet down the left field line, 425 feet in center field and 301 down the right field line. To stop cheapies in LF the Dodgers installed a 40-foot screen, the gap area in LF was also very short (320 feet) and baseball’s executive group wanted the Dodgers to install another screen to extend the height, however the California Earthquake Board refused the construction under the grounds that it was not safe.

Riverfront Stadium was the first baseball stadium to display distances by using the metric system.

Beneath the Forbes Fields left field bleachers in the 1920’s was a car dealership and repair shop. No no-hitters were EVER pitched at Forbes Field, including Negro League Baseball.

60 Wins, ain’t much is it?

The Reds hit 60 wins for the season on Saturday (4-12-06)which is the second quickest for them in the 21st century, here’s where they hit it since 2000.

2005 - 8-26
2004 - 8-24
2003 - 9-1
2002 - 8-10
2001 - 9-20
2000 - 8-19